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Global rubber consumption drops to lowest level since 2006

6/15/2009 - According to the International Rubber Study Group's quarterly Rubber Industry Report, "Driven down by the rapidly deteriorating state of the world economy, global rubber consumption reached 21.1 million metric tons in the year to March 2009, its lowest level since April 2006; year-on-year consumption growth plunged to -9.4 percent, compared to growth rates of -3.2 percent at the end of 2008 and (providing a stark illustration of how markets have evolved over the last twelve months) 6.9 percent in March 2008. Global natural rubber (NR) consumption declined by over 0.4 million metric tons between the end of 2008 and March 2009, with the rate of decline in consumption accelerating from -1.6 percent to -6.8 percent in year-on-year terms over the period; global synthetic rubber (SR) consumption fell by over 0.7 million metric tons over the same period, with year-on-year consumption growth declining from -4.5 percent to -11.3 percent. Global rubber output fell from 22.7 million metric tons at the end of 2008 to 21.8 million metric tons in March 2009, while the rate of decline in production in year-on-year terms accelerated from -2.0 percent to -6.5 percent over the same period. The sharp reduction is mainly due to a steep decline in SR output, which fell to 12.2 million metric tons in March 2009 compared to over 12.8 million metric tons in December 2008; over the period, the rate of decline in SR production accelerated from -4.6 percent to -9.8 percent. Global NR production is also estimated to have fallen (albeit less markedly than for SR) from 9.9 million metric tons at the end of 2008 to 9.6 million metric tons in March 2009; over the period, NR production growth slowed from 1.8 percent to -1.9 percent. Despite lower production, the more pronounced decline in consumption resulted in a widening of the global NR surplus from 150,000 metric tons at the end of 2008 to 290,000 metric tons in the year to March 2009. SR consumption is estimated to have plunged by -11.3 percent in the twelve months to March 2009, compared to a production decline of -4.6 percent; this follows contractions in both production and consumption of around -5 percent in 2008. Global stocks of both NR and SR are estimated to have risen steeply in relation to the level of consumption in early 2009. World NR exports fell back to 6.29 million metric tons in the year to March 2009, compared to 6.60 million metric tons at the end of 2008. A sharp fall in the exports of the major NR producers, except in the case of Vietnam, contributed to the overall trend. Among the five major NR importers, the decline in imports continued in the first quarter reflecting the continuing slump in demand. The inexhaustible rise in SR exports seen between 2000 and 2007 was halted in 2008 as the bottom fell out of world demand; exports peaked in the year to April 2008 at 7.77 million metric tons, before crashing down to 7.12 million metric tons by the end of the year, and falling further to 6.55 million metric tons by March 2009. For the first three months of 2009, SR imports by the major importers, except China, have fallen, reflecting the sharp drop in demand as a result of the world recession and falling exports. NR prices increased by 57 percent at the end of May 2009 from their low of $1.10 per kg reached on December 9, 2008. The fundamental factors contributing to the upsurge in prices, amid low underlying global demand, included slow production after wintering (mainly due to heavy rains in Thailand, Malaysia and Vietnam) as well as buying demand from China and India; prices also advanced on market sentiment over signs of an easing of the recession and improving oil prices. NR latex prices broadly followed the same trend as solid NR prices. The price of light crude has been on an upward move again, rising from its lowest level in over five years of $31.41/barrel in late December 2008 to the current price of $61.02/barrel in late May. With the customary time-lag the upward movement of the oil price fed through to the monomer prices, rising in February for styrene and later still in May for butadiene. The latest series of synthetic rubber prices, however, was more influenced by the movements of the respective markets’ butadiene prices, meaning that elastomer prices did not recover until April/May. The latest data on export volumes of selected latex general rubber products (GRP) from the four leading exporters suggest that the overall downward trend of the industry may have eased further still over the first quarter of 2009, led, mainly, by the against the grain performance of the leading exporters (China and Thailand in all cases) of each of the five sectors, expanding export volumes when others were contracting. The outlook for the production of passenger cars and commercial vehicles is bleak, with all regions forecast to see a substantial reduction in output levels in 2009; meanwhile, the world recovery in 2010 is expected to be slow, reflecting the tentative upturn in the economy. Sales of passenger car tires are expected to suffer from a greater rate of fall in 2009 and a slower rate of recovery in 2010 relative to the commercial vehicle tires sector. The outlook for total rubber consumption in 2009 is, not unexpectedly, bleak; the two leading contributors towards the demise are North America and Europe, where consumption is projected to fall by 15.2 percent and 13.7 percent, respectively. The subsequent recovery is expected to come from Asia, where demand is forecast to increase by 4 percent (or around 500,000 metric tons) in 2010. World NR consumption is projected to fall by around 500,000 metric tons in 2009, while the demand for SR is forecast to decline by 7.9 percent; the subsequent recovery will be slower for SR as compared to NR. World NR production is projected to fall by 2.3 percent (or 229,000 metric tons) in 2009, with the three major producers - Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia – all contributing to the forecast decline in supply.

International Rubber Study Group
www.rubberstudy.com


Market Report

Europe Tire Market Forecast And Opportunities - 2019 - 8/28/2014
Sustainability In The Tire Industry 2014 - 8/27/2014
Demand For Rubber Products In China To Reach 740 Billion Yuan - 8/14/2014
New Nanomaterials Promise A Sustainable Future For The Tire Industry - 8/4/2014
IRSG Offers Latest World Rubber Industry Outlook - 7/24/2014
Chloroprene Rubber 2014 Global Strategic Business Report Released - 7/18/2014
Italian Rubber And Plastics Machinery Exports Report Encouraging First Quarter - 7/15/2014
Rubber industry report available from IRSG - 7/8/2014
Lucrative Growth Market For Silicones - 6/13/2014
Global thermoplastic elastomers market to hit $15 billion valuation - 6/11/2014
Resurgent Demand From End-Use Markets To Fuel Growth In Global Industrial Rubber Products Market - 5/29/2014
World Demand For Kaolin To Reach 28.7 Million Metric Tons - 4/29/2014
International Rubber Study Group Report Examines First Quarter Of 2014 - 3/26/2014
Chemical Plants To Evolve - 3/26/2014
Profound Changes Expected For The Stabilizers Market - 3/18/2014
OTR Tire Market Industry Report - 2/24/2014
Rubber Product Manufacturing In Canada Examined - 1/27/2014
China Tire Industry Report, 2013-2017 - 1/3/2014
2013 Forecast For Italian Plastics And Rubber Machinery Industry Released - 1/3/2014
Vietnam To Become Third Largest Rubber Exporter - 1/2/2014
World Rubber Consumption Seen Climbing As Tire Demand Grows - 11/18/2013
International Rubber Study Group Reports On Third Quarter Of 2013 - 11/18/2013
Strong Growth Projected For Americas Composites Industry - 11/12/2013
Manifold Developments On The Market For Butadiene - 10/23/2013
Synthetic Latex Polymers, A $30 Billion Plus Market That Is Building Globally - 10/22/2013
Global Petrochemical Prices Rose Nearly 2 Percent In September - 10/7/2013
Global Demand For Thermoplastic Elastomers To Reach 5.8 Million Metric Tons In 2017 - 8/30/2013
International Rubber Study Group reports on second quarter of 2013 - 7/15/2013
Automotive industry outlook and review presented - 7/11/2013
Hankook Tire Gauge Index shows decline in summer driving - 7/9/2013
Global and Chinese tire mold industry examined - 7/8/2013
Ceresana provides complete analysis of global market for rubber - 7/8/2013
Italian rubber and plastics machinery exports face uncertain start to the year - 7/8/2013
Worldwide Industrial Rubber Products Market To Witness Steady Growth - 1/8/2013
No growth for 2012 tire shipments; two percent rebound anticipated in 2013 - 12/31/2012
European Tire Market Opportunities Reviewed - 10/5/2012
Tire and Rubber Recycling Industry Has Grown 1.7 Percent Annually For Past Five Years - 9/14/2012
2012 Tire Shipments Expected To Grow By 1.2 Percent - 8/13/2012
Transportation To Drive Global Thermoplastic Composites Market - 7/25/2012
Top Ten States For Manufacturing Jobs - 7/25/2012
Rubber Machinery Trade Back On Track - 7/19/2012
Global Automotive Tire Market Forecast To Reach $187 Billion In 2017 - 7/14/2012
Thermoplastics Bucking TPE Industry Trends - 6/26/2012
Rubber Consumption Increased Four Percent In 2011 - 6/13/2012
Global Demand For Industrial Rubber Products To Reach $140 Billion In 2016 - 5/31/2012
U.S. Demand For Gaskets & Seals To Reach $9.6 Billion In 2016 - 5/29/2012
Sustained Demand From Industrial And Automotive Sectors Drives Global Nitrile Butadiene Rubber Market - 5/17/2012
Rubber Consumption To Approach 31 Million Metric Tons In 2015 - 5/10/2012
Buying Tires Over Internet Reported To Be More Attractive For Drivers - 4/20/2012
World Demand For Rubber Processing Chemicals To Rise 4.7 Percent Annually Through 2015 - 4/10/2012
Global Rubber Consumption To Approach 31 Million Metric Tons In 2015 - 3/29/2012
Tire shipments to increase by approximately 2 percent - 3/8/2012
Global Demand For Tires To Reach 3.3 Billion Units In 2015 - 2/29/2012
Global Demand For Kaolin To Exceed 28 Million Metric Tons In 2015 - 2/28/2012
Indian Tire Market Expected To Grow Through 2017 - 2/28/2012
New Epichlorohydrin Manufacturing Technologies Based On Renewable Resources Boost Chinese Production - 2/28/2012
Global Gaskets And Seals Market To Reach $30 Billion By 2017 - 2/23/2012
Positive Outlook Predicted For Russian Rubber And Plastics Market - 2/8/2012
U.S. Carbon Black Trade Back On Track - 2/8/2012
Global Rubber Demand Forecast To Reach 27.2 Million Metric Tons In 2012 - 1/25/2012
IRSG Expects Five Percent Growth In Rubber Consumption - 1/9/2012
Heavy Duty OTR Tire Manufacturing To Gain Traction Over The Next Five Years - 12/2/2011
Global Chloroprene Rubber Market To Reach 445.3 Thousand Metric Tons By 2017 - 11/21/2011
Global Tires Market To Reach 1.8 Billion Units By 2017 - 11/11/2011
World Demand For Thermoplastic Elastomers To Approach 5.6 Million Metric Tons in 2015, Freedonia Reports - 10/17/2011
Global Long Fiber Thermoplastics Market To Reach 313.4 Thousand Tons By 2017 - 10/5/2011
IRSG Forecasts Rubber Consumption Growth - 9/29/2011
U.S. Tire Imports, Exports Continue Growth - 9/9/2011
Global Silicone Market Forecast To Reach $17.2 Billion By 2017 - 8/26/2011
Improving Economic Outlook On Tap For Chemical Processing Industry - 8/18/2011
2011 Tire Shipments To Grow Nearly 4 Percent - 8/5/2011
Yokohama Senior VP Of Sales And Marketing Gives Mid-Year Report - 7/25/2011
Latest Rubber Statistical Bulletin/Rubber Industry Report Available From IRSG - 7/5/2011
China Imports More Natural Rubber To Meet Booming Demand - 6/15/2011
U.S. Demand For Specialty Silicas To Reach $1.7 Billion In 2015 - 5/19/2011
U.S. Farm Tire Market Examined - 5/11/2011
Global Styrene-Butadiene-Styrene (SBS) Block Copolymer Market To Reach 1.9 Million Tons By 2017 - 4/20/2011
Global Nitrile Butadiene Rubber Market To Exceed 645 Thousand Tons By 2017 - 4/11/2011
Global Tetrahydrofuran Market To Exceed 800 Thousand Tons By 2017 - 4/11/2011
Global Market For Chloroprene Rubber To Reach 445.3 Thousand Metric Tons By 2017 - 4/5/2011
2011 Tire Shipments To Grow Three Percent - 3/24/2011
Automotive Industry Outlook And Review For March 2011 - 3/14/2011
U.S, Tire Shipments Increase More Than 10 Percent In 2010 - 2/17/2011
Rubber Demand Bounces Back, More Growth Seen - 2/8/2011
Automotive Coating, Adhesive And Sealant Demand To Rise 9.4 Percent - 2/8/2011
Growing Optimism In Manufacturing As 49% Plan To Increase Hiring In Next Six Months - 1/27/2011
Polyurethane Processors, Suppliers Head Into 2011 With Optimistic Outlook - 1/5/2011
Economic Growth Continues In 2011 - 12/8/2010
2010 U.S. Tire Shipments To Post Nine Percent Increase - 12/2/2010
Tire Manufacturers Emphasize Design As Low Rolling Resistant And Eco-Friendly Tires Gain Popularity - 11/22/2010
Automotive Industry Outlook Highlighted - 11/4/2010
Global Industrial Rubber Products Market To Reach $88.5 Billion By 2015 - 10/18/2010
Indian Tire Industry Analyzed - 10/6/2010
IRSG Says Global Output Of Rubber Increased 8.9 Percent - 10/4/2010
Indian Tire Industry Forecasted To 2014 - 9/1/2010
Platts Global Petrochemical Index Ended July Higher On Late Rally - 8/12/2010
2010 Tire Shipments To Increase Eight Percent - 8/11/2010
World Demand For Specialty Silicas To Reach 2.7 Million Metric Tons In 2014 - 6/11/2010
Rate Of Decline In Petrochemical Prices Picks Up Pace In May - 6/11/2010
Global and China Automotive Tire Companies Will See Revenue Growth, But Profit Fall in 2010 - 6/9/2010
Rubber Loses Support Of Crude Oil, Currencies And Commodity Stocks - 5/26/2010
Chinese Tire Industry Predictions for 2010-2011 - 5/19/2010
Rubber Crisis Looms, May Hit India Hard - 5/3/2010
U.S. Industrial Rubber Products Market To Reach $17.7 Billion In 2014 - 4/27/2010
Global Tire Cord Market To Exceed 1.3 Million Metric Tons By 2015 - 4/14/2010
Auto Industry Outlook for 2010 - 4/14/2010
World Industrial Rubber Products Demand To Grow By 4.5 Percent - 4/12/2010
Tire Industry Market Report 2010 - 3/29/2010
2010 Tire Shipments To Increase Three Percent - 3/22/2010
World Demand For Carbon Black To Reach 11.6 MMT In 2013 - 3/12/2010
Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene Copolymer Demand To Grow In 2010 - 2/22/2010
World Rubber Consumption To Reach 26.9 Million Metric Tons In 2013 - 2/22/2010
Signs of Timid Recovery in 2009 - 2/12/2010
Elastomers Distributor Sees Signs of Market Recovery - 2/1/2010
IRSG Offers Latest Rubber Statistical Bulletin - 1/6/2010
2009 Tire Shipments To Post Thirteen Percent Decline - 12/14/2009
Research Report On Chinese Rubber Industry, 2008-2009 - 10/7/2009
2009 Tire Shipments Revised To Drop 16 Percent - 8/12/2009
NR Supply Heading Into A Historical Fall - Review Of 12 Months Ended June 2009 - 7/21/2009
Natural Rubber Supply And Demand Forecast And Price Outlook - 6/30/2009
More Old Tires Put To New Uses; Scrap Tire Piles Receding - 6/24/2009
Global rubber consumption drops to lowest level since 2006 - 6/15/2009
Natural Rubber Production Dropped Drastically During January To April 2009 - 6/2/2009
High Growth Forecasted For The Global And China Tire Market, 2008-2009 - 5/8/2009
Global Production Of Natural Rubber On The Decline - 4/17/2009
U.S. Demand For Specialty Silicas To Reach $1.7 Billion In 2013 - 4/15/2009
World Natural Rubber Output To See Biggest Fall Since 1993 - 4/15/2009
China Holds Key To Rubber Production Rebound - 4/3/2009
World Demand For Nonwovens To Approach 8 Million Metric Tons In 2012 - 4/1/2009
China Is Leading Rubber Importer From Viet Nam - 3/26/2009
Poor Car Sales May Curb Global Demand For Rubber - 3/26/2009
2009 Tire Shipments To Drop Seven Percent - 3/17/2009
Dubai Rubber Imports And Exports Hit AED 7.8 Billion In 2008 - 3/16/2009
IRSG Forecast:: Rubber Consumption Will Decline - 3/10/2009
2008 Tire Shipments Drop More Than 6%, Says RMA - 2/24/2009
Natural Rubber Prices In India Decline In Fourth Quarter - 2/24/2009
Thailand May Purchase 200,000 Metric Tons Of Rubber - 2/24/2009
Vietnamese Rubber Sector Deals With Economic Crisis - 2/24/2009



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